Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial newsGood morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.The Iran war has helped BP to double its profits in the first quarter of this year, its latest financial results show.Overall, our business continues to
Graeme Wearden
Looking ahead, BP expects a drop in fossil fuel production in the current quarter, partly due to the Iran war.
It says:
Looking ahead, bp expects second quarter 2026 reported upstream production to be lower compared with the first quarter 2026, due to seasonal maintenance predominantly in the Gulf of America and the effects of disruption in the Middle East.
It also expect volumes and fuels margins to “remain sensitive to conditions and developments in the Middle East”.
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
The Iran war has helped BP to double its profits in the first quarter of this year, its latest financial results show.
The oil major has just reported that it made a profit of nearly $3.2bn in the first three months of 2026, on its favoured ‘underlying replacement cost’ earnings measure.
That’s higher than City analysts had predicted, with BP – which was hit by a shareholder rebellion last week – giving some of the credit to an “exceptional” contribution from its oil trading operations.
These quarterly profits are up from $1.54bn in the fourth quarter of 2025, and $1.38bn in the first quarter of last year.
Q1 2026 includes the surge in oil and gas prices in March, after the war began at the end of February, disrupting energy supplies from the region.
BP’s new CEO, Meg O’Neill, acknowledges the impact of the Middlle East conflict, saying the company is working in an “environment of conflict and complexity”.
O’Neill says BP is “working with customers and governments to get fuel where it’s needed” – at a time when fears of jet fuel shortages are growing.
She adds:
Overall, our business continues to run well. This was another quarter of strong operational and financial delivery, and we made further progress towards our 2027 targets. We had high plant reliability, high refining availability and increased production in the Gulf of America and at bpx Energy, our US onshore business – keeping production levels steady despite the ongoing disruption.
The surge in energy prices is worrying central banks, many of whom are setting interest rates this week.
Overnight, the Bank of Japan left borrowing costs unchanged, but three policymakers did break ranks and vote for a hike….
The agenda
10am BST: ECB survey of Consumer Inflation Expectations in the eurozone
2pm BST: US house price data: S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM
3pm BST: US consumer confidence data
